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A Half-Baked Solution for the Federal Deficit Exclusive to STR February 6, 2008 President
Bush’s proposed 2009 budget has raised many eyebrows, and also no doubt
the blood pressure of many readers of this space. Most notable is the
staggering $410 billion deficit, which doesn’t even include the cost of
the wars in George
Bush, the first “CEO president,” must no doubt be wringing his hands
over how to cover such a massive sum. After all, any private corporation
or individual can’t very well spend more than they earn without going
into debt, which every red-blooded American naturally finds abhorrent. Bake
sales are the stalwart of churches, school bands, and Boy Scout troops
that are a little short of cash. Honoring this venerable tradition, I have
come up with two related proposals, either of which will solve the problem
of how to fully fund the 2009 budget without running a deficit. Each plan
has its respective strengths and weaknesses, which are analyzed below. Plan
A: Federal Employee Bake Sale The
federal government employs 1.8 million people, plus 800,000 in the Postal
Service. The untapped potential of such a vast army of workers could be
harnessed to vanquish the deficit in short order. Spreading out the $560
billion equally among these 2.6 million workers amounts to a piddling
$215,380 each. Pricing
a cookie at 50 cents, a brownie at $0.75, and a muffin at $1.25, each
federal employee could sell 430,760 cookies, 287,173 brownies, or 172,304
muffins to cover their share. Of course for variety’s sake, one could
instead sell some combination of cookies, brownies, and muffins that
totals $215,380. (Alternatively, the average federal worker could simply
sell their house and give the money over. With the median house price now
at $217,000, you would even have a little cash to spare!) Now,
the keener economists among us will immediately point out the practical
implications of putting this plan into action. Namely, one could expect
the ensuing run on supermarkets to produce an immediate shortage of flour,
sugar, eggs, vanilla, and butter. The ensuing panic would result in
Katrina-like conditions in which the National Guard and Blackwater Let’s
momentarily cast aside any petty worries over civil unrest and carry on
with our analysis. After the initial stock of baking supplies vanishes
from store shelves, we can expect the price of these commodities to
skyrocket, sending flour to something in the range of $750 a bag, and
likewise $420 for a bag of sugar. Individual chocolate chips might be sold
for $50 - each! However outrageous this may seem, all is well in the eyes
of the economist, as the market has quickly adjusted prices to accommodate
the sudden jump in demand. However, as we all know too well, state and
local governments would likely intervene to prosecute “price gougers,”
decrying those profiteering off of butter and baking soda. Imagine scenes
of supermarket managers being “perp-walked” in front of the television
cameras for everyone to see! In a travesty of justice, lengthy sentences
would be dished out for these heroic entrepreneurs, who were only trying
to rationally distribute scarce goods.
In
light of the economic calamity that would befall us if Plan A were to be
implemented, I suggest we follow the second of my plans: Plan B: The White House Bake Sale Since
this is Bush’s budget, let him make up the deficit himself! After
all, Andrew Jackson nearly paid off the national debt in 1835! At $9.21
trillion, the current federal debt is over 16 times greater than the
projected 2009 deficit, so we’re actually taking it pretty easy on the
ol’ Decider. Instead
of making poor George bake hundreds of thousands of cookies, brownies, and
muffins, driving the price of butter to $100 per stick, etc., let’s
limit ourselves to a more reasonable array of baked goods. In a single
afternoon, George could probably knock off 200 cookies, 100 brownies, and
50 muffins. Now, under our old pricing scheme, this bake sale would bring
in a haul of $237.50, leaving us exactly $559,999,999,762.50 short of the
goal. Regrettably, prices will have to be raised to compensate for this
drastically smaller bake sale. Accordingly, each cookie will now cost
$43,076, each brownie $64,614, and a muffin will run you $107,690.
Understandably, most off us might have a hard time coughing up the
loose change to afford even a small bite of a single cookie. Fortunately, we can finally make the Federal Reserve’s inflation machine work for us! The Great Inflator himself, Ben “Helicopter” Bernanke, can quickly whip us up some extra money and shower us in a tsunami of greenbacks! In this way, the deficit practically pays for itself with new money that nobody had to actually work for. The deficit is zapped, safely monetized, and forgotten about. A very worried and fretful George Bush can finally declare himself to be the fiscal conservative he aspired to be way back in 2000. He’ll surely sleep better at night, knowing that at last the budget is balanced and sound. Tony Sampognaro is a medicinal chemist and student of economics. He lives in Connecticut with his family and two dachshunds. |