|
Decentralism vs. Rational Markets
August 28, 2006 Our
own Bob Murphy has a recent
article attacking, in his hyperbole, “The dumbest article
ever.” The target
article by Amanda Taylor is questioning the efficiency of existing
food markets. To sum up
her article: It should be more efficient to grow food locally than to
ship it halfway around the world.
Summarizing Murphy’s reply: In a free market of identical
goods, prices will determine the true sum of efficiencies. Not
a single word of One
fundamental issue is whether or not state interference in the food,
transportation, and fuel markets is a factor in the shape of the end
product food markets. I
recommend those who have not studied the actual nature of existing US
food markets read Joel
Salatin’s "Everything
I Want To Do Is Illegal." However,
the empirical freedom of existing markets is not my primary concern in
this article. In
Murphy’s conclusion, he makes his attack on Contra
Hayek, at least superficially, a free market advocate should not just
put faith in the free market and just float unthinkingly down the
river of the spontaneously ordered market.
Entrepreneurs do not “just put faith in the market.”
They actively seek out real imperfections in the current
market. Notice that it is
a bit contradictory to praise the entrepreneur and then
attack someone just for claiming to see a market failure.
To quote Warren Buffett, “I'd be a bum on the street with a
tin cup if the markets were always efficient.”
If those who succeed the most on the market don’t accept
rational markets, why should we? Libertarian
judicial theory is mainly concerned with the voluntaryness of an
exchange, but it is not the end of human action.
Individuals can make foolish market decisions.
When millions of people all make foolish decisions on the
market, it doesn’t make the total less foolish.
Austrian economics is not dependent on mythical perfect
competition or perfect markets, but that doesn’t stop some Austrian
economists from occasionally making arguments that apply only to such
perfect and omniscient markets. I
realize that the term “rational market” is sometimes used just to
mean seeking particular goals at minimal cost, without implying that
the goal itself is rational. However,
this has become an “anti-concept” to many libertarians.
What
is promoting libertarianism if not intra-market activism to persuade
people to have different valuations?
We believe that people undervalue the free market (voluntary
exchange) as a good on the broad free market itself.
Further, almost everyone is an evangelist in some respect in
believing people have undervalued something, or overvalued something
else. Decentralism Lenin
wrote that capitalists would sell him the rope to hang them with, and
he was too often right. Anarchist
medieval Market
advocates have failed to account for the long term disvalue of
treating friendly customers equally to customers who are hostile to
the market. Libertarians
should seek to protect libertarianism on the open market, especially
when libertarians have a small minority of market power.
This is one of the major problems of the political Libertarian
Party. It has no
meaningful barriers to prevent infiltration by pseudo-libertarians.
Then worse, supposing it succeeded and gained some political
influence, it increases the profitability of pseudo-libertarian
infiltration and take over. Those
who oppose political activism commonly note this fatal flaw of the
Libertarian Party, and every political party.
It is equally a problem of the unlimited support for the
spontaneously ordered market. One
imperfection is when the market sells the Leninists the rope.
Generally, libertarian articles boil down to the root problem
of any market problem is the state.
The state can't take full blame this time.
It takes voluntary stupidity within the market to make this
dumb decision. To
avoid selling out the market through the market, a degree of
libertarian isolationism or separatism is necessary.
This is where decentralism is protection against the
destabilizing market power of opponents.
Libertarians praise the free market, but the market will take
advantage of whatever state currently exists.
States have acted to subsidize mass distribution and
centralization, not because they are more efficient, but because they
allow and promote centralization of power and wealth.
Centralized markets are artificially efficient today because of
state subsidization of transportation, infrastructure, and technology
to make it efficient. It
is not necessary to oppose the use of such existing structures.
However, it should be actively noted that such is internally
inefficient and risky. Instead,
market advocates should seek decentralized methods of production, less
capital intense alternatives, local and community exchanges and market
places, etc. Governments,
wars, and catastrophes have the ability to significantly alter supply
and unexpectedly increase scarcity.
The more any society is centralized, the more it is vulnerable
to unforeseen price shocks. Status
quo advocates may say that current systems and methods have always
been profitable and see no reason to expect a change.
But past performance does not preclude a Misean crack-up boom.
Not only is it a problem of fiat money, but any situation where
exponential growth in one resource is needed for sub-exponential
growth of some profit. A
free market is always free to calculate and include the risk of such
threats. However, it is
vulnerable to risk exploitation (for lack of a more precise term,
insider trading is also close) since a government is an entity that
can alter market value through altering the risk component of market
value. For example: One
government threatens war against an oil producing country.
The market price of oil goes up to adjust for the risk to
supply. However, the
government knows when and if it will begin such a war.
The government and its allies can use their precise knowledge
of the actual risks to reap profits on the oil market.
For the period that the risk does not materialize, the profits
from the market's risk premium are windfall profits to those who knew
the risk would not materialize. If
they knew when the war would begin, they could take additional profits
from the foreknowledge of the timing.
(I had written this before the recent disclosure of Israeli
politicians selling stock just before declaring war on Lebanon.) An
open-ended free market cannot escape this problem.
This is an internal problem of the spontaneously free market.
Even an anarchist free market society would face such problems
from outside governments. One
state declaring war on another state alters the market price for goods
within the anarchist society to the degree that goods are imported
from either state, have supply lines through either state, or have
competitive goods through either state.
Then add the same problem for exports. States
and their agents know the degree and actuality of risks unknown to the
anarchist society and create risks to any anarchist society that
becomes dependant on trade with such states.
Given this, we can make a conclusion as to how the market can
minimize the risk of governments’ asymmetrical knowledge for the
risk component of market prices. All
else equal, a free market society should seek to minimize extended
supply chains, especially to those dependent on markets controlled by
hostile entities. If one
system of production is more centralized or extended, it is more
vulnerable to risk exploitation. Decentralism
enhances security and decreases risk.
Risk is a component that governments have massive power to
manipulate both from inside (through buying and selling agents) and
outside the market. When
we become used to cheap goods, we have likely not prepared for any
risk that the government may decide to pass a massive tax on the sale
of water to libertarians. Is
this anarchist separatism? It
is partly so. If an
anarchist society gets a high use value out of commerce with a hostile
state society such as if it was the primary source for water, the
state society might realize it would get more non-monetary profit by
restricting trade to an anarchist society in hurting its competitor
than it gets from the monetary profit from the sale of goods. Hoppe’s
controversial anti-immigration position takes on a more legitimate
application to the voluntary society than when applied to artificial
borders of nation-states. An
individual free society (as opposed to free society in general) should
value and retain the ability to remain independent to minimize
secretive corruption from without. Fredrick
Bastiat is famous for the quote, "Where goods do not cross
borders, soldiers will." There
is truth in this, but there is equal truth in an opposite extreme.
When one society becomes dependent and complacent on goods
crossing many borders and long distances at a certain exchange value,
soldiers may cross borders to ensure stasis.
Note
the difference between the broader free market, which no one controls,
and individual voluntarily formed markets.
Individual markets are controlled by some entity whether a
person, partnership, a community, or a federation of these.
These have the ability to refuse to trade with those who would
buy products to destroy the market from which they are bought.
Libertarians should take care to refuse such trades.
Think ahead and don't sell someone the rope if you know they
intend to hang you with it. Remember
that any free society retains the right to refuse suspicious
customers. When
considering trade, consider the individual counterparty more than the
nationality. One may
support trade with a pro-market person who happens to reside in an
anti-market state, and likewise consider avoiding trade with an
anti-market person who resides in a pro-market society.
Do you depend on goods from anti-market people?
Try to alter your situation to minimize this as much as
possible. They may stop
trade with you for your beliefs long before you even consider stopping
trade with him. To the
degree that you realize this dependence and are unwilling to change,
it is a temptation to avoid libertarian activism or rate it as a
lesser value than the material happiness received, oddly enough, from
exchanges with anti-market entities. Murphy
may question those who would pay more to support a small farm or CSA
groups are the most natural allies of anarchists. The dumb act is
attacking people who try to change things on the market in a way that
would reduce state capitalism, when there was not a single call or
implication for government interference in Murphy's
article effectively makes pro-market decentralists the enemy, and
those who influence the state to remove our freedoms as the ally. I
see why some of the attacks on anarcho-capitalists are valid. Such
writing does not match our theory . . . while others assume that such
writings are our theory. Murphy's article unintentionally takes the
existence of current state regulations as something to work around
more than to work against. I
toast with my decentralist homebrew to those who work against the
state. I gladly pay a little extra for raw milk straight from a dairy
farmer, and for produce from family farmers who struggle against state
regulations every day instead of from big businesses that at best, are
skilled at maneuvering around the state regulations from which they
profit. A
free market is not self-sustaining unless people specifically act to
sustain it. The market
does not value its perpetuation apart from individuals who value
perpetuating it. Ostracism
from markets is a primary method necessary to perpetuate markets.
It is not even a good measure of value apart from those who
seek to accurately measure value.
Time preference is a choice, and both unethical actions and
poor market decisions can equally be viewed as poor time preference
choices. It is not enough
to actively oppose crimes but ignore vices expecting them to be best
resolved through spontaneous order.
We as complete humans, who are more than libertarians only,
should be concerned not only with the science of justice, but also to
the science of civility, and to seek market choices that we will think
good decisions long after the original exchanges. Spontaneously ordered markets? I’m working to keep the free market alive and so is everyone who writes at this website and others like it, including Murphy, who’s usually quite good. If you thought that the free market will value itself properly and spontaneously, then why are you spending your time at this website? And why is it here? Lysander's Ghost has degrees in math and economics, a wife, and four kids. Besides agorist free-market anarchism, he promotes a Weston Price Foundation approach to nutrition and health, plays guitar, and loves progressive rock/metal. A long term goal is to finish a SF book in the style of Heinlein. |